Seat Matrix

All 56 Johor state seats

Race ratings, leading probabilities and signal health for every DUN. Live values require a verified receipt; seats without one show an honest insufficient-data state.

Live data56 / 56 seats carry a live baseline estimate · winner-level 2022 baseline · uncertainty stated on every estimate

Segamat

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N01	Buloh KasapSegamat	Likely	BN 60.0%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N02	JementahSegamat	Lean	PH 37.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N03	PemanisSekijang	Likely	BN 47.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N04	KemelahSekijang	Lean	BN 37.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N05	TenangLabis	Likely	BN 36.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N06	BekokLabis	Lean	BN 53.2%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Muar–Tangkak

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N07	Bukit KepongPagoh	Lean	PN 41.0%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N08	Bukit PasirPagoh	Toss-up	PH 34.5%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N09	GambirLedang	Likely	BN 42.2%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N10	TangkakLedang	Likely	BN 59.2%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N11	SeromLedang	Toss-up	BN 35.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N12	BentayanBakri	Safe	PH 69.0%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N13	Simpang JeramBakri	Lean	PH 33.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N14	Bukit NaningBakri	Lean	BN 27.7%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N15	MaharaniMuar	Lean	PN 29.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N16	Sungai BalangMuar	Likely	BN 42.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Batu Pahat

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N17	SemerahParit Sulong	Likely	BN 41.7%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N18	Sri MedanParit Sulong	Safe	BN 57.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N19	Yong PengAyer Hitam	Lean	BN 55.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N20	SemarangAyer Hitam	Safe	BN 58.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N21	Parit YaaniSri Gading	Likely	PH 61.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N22	Parit RajaSri Gading	Likely	BN 46.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N23	PenggaramBatu Pahat	Likely	PH 56.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N24	SenggarangBatu Pahat	Likely	BN 41.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N25	RengitBatu Pahat	Likely	BN 45.7%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Kluang

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N26	MachapSimpang Renggam	Likely	BN 59.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N27	Layang-LayangSimpang Renggam	Safe	BN 51.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N28	MengkibolKluang	Safe	PH 62.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N29	MahkotaKluang	Likely	BN 42.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N30	PalohSembrong	Likely	BN 45.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N31	KahangSembrong	Safe	BN 59.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium

Mersing

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N32	EndauMersing	Likely	PN 45.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N33	TenggarohMersing	Likely	BN 45.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Kota Tinggi

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N34	PantiTenggara	Safe	BN 54.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N35	Pasir RajaTenggara	Safe	BN 55.1%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N36	SediliKota Tinggi	Safe	BN 60.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N37	Johor LamaKota Tinggi	Safe	BN 57.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N38	PenawarPengerang	Safe	BN 63.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N39	Tanjung SuratPengerang	Safe	BN 71.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium

Johor Bahru

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N40	TiramTebrau	Lean	BN 33.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N41	Puteri WangsaTebrau	Lean	MUDA 31.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N42	Johor JayaPasir Gudang	Likely	PH 34.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N43	PermasPasir Gudang	Likely	BN 34.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N44	LarkinJohor Bahru	Lean	BN 38.5%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N45	StulangJohor Bahru	Likely	PH 36.9%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Iskandar–Kulai

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N46	PerlingPulai	Lean	PH 40.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N47	KempasPulai	Toss-up	BN 35.6%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N48	SkudaiIskandar Puteri	Likely	PH 48.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N49	Kota IskandarIskandar Puteri	Lean	BN 33.5%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N50	Bukit PermaiKulai	Likely	BN 39.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N51	Bukit BatuKulai	Lean	PH 28.4%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N52	SenaiKulai	Likely	PH 48.5%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low

Pontian

DUN	Seat	Rating	Leading	Δ 7d	Volatility	Confidence
N53	BenutPontian	Safe	BN 67.3%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium
N54	Pulai SebatangPontian	Toss-up	BN 51.8%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N55	Pekan NanasTanjung Piai	Lean	BN 53.5%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Low
N56	KukupTanjung Piai	Safe	BN 64.0%	0.0pp	Vol · —	Conf · Medium