Swing Lab
Turnout and swing simulator
Apply mechanical swings and turnout shifts to the baseline probability estimates and watch the seat map respond. Every output here is a scenario you construct with the sliders — explicitly not a forecast.
Scenario controls
0pp
0pp
0%
0pp
0%
Scenario, not forecast
Scenario simulation based on current baseline estimates. The sliders apply mechanical, user-driven adjustments; the output is a hypothetical you constructed — it has no predictive validity and encodes no judgement about real voter behaviour.
Projected leading-seat counts
| Party | Baseline | Scenario | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| No data | 56 | 56 | 0 |
Scenario map · leading party under current sliders
Live data